Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 6.807334 8.066253 9.456258 11.099767 12.984574 15.073021 17.556550
2025-02-09 5.149771 6.826577 8.856257 11.472520 14.731741 18.632738 23.626949
2025-02-16 3.940615 5.753412 8.125562 11.409597 15.783266 21.346675 28.887250
2025-02-23 3.015649 4.806165 7.318372 11.020786 16.242533 23.234132 33.169127
2025-03-02 2.331382 4.032276 6.577075 10.545659 16.434987 24.681645 36.887127
2025-03-09 1.932961 3.596624 6.230938 10.545712 17.233262 26.957756 41.846861
2025-03-16 1.631229 3.251149 5.955109 10.587555 18.055050 29.285623 47.003558
2025-03-23 1.378843 2.937192 5.673114 10.563490 18.740673 31.426386 51.995231
2025-03-30 1.113806 2.544567 5.191943 10.134520 18.711123 32.436983 55.305605
2025-04-06 0.954972 2.323658 4.977529 10.125506 19.351015 34.516004 60.375423
2025-04-13 0.814999 2.111770 4.745090 10.047373 19.849291 36.379435 65.194159
2025-04-20 0.760625 2.074142 4.842468 10.584531 21.462581 40.178325 73.365798
2025-04-27 0.696977 2.006753 4.877585 11.019783 22.954733 43.915821 81.740775
2025-05-04 0.645517 1.958508 4.946153 11.528376 24.625975 48.073868 91.077169
2025-05-11 0.559821 1.805547 4.765459 11.508884 25.293784 50.510124 97.602962
2025-05-18 0.463441 1.600350 4.434003 11.130556 25.224609 51.610307 101.849583
2025-05-25 0.377612 1.400813 4.080597 10.655407 24.908109 52.218985 105.234428
2025-06-01 0.329899 1.300487 3.950300 10.656748 25.551801 54.640125 111.997281
2025-06-08 0.290509 1.215453 3.844398 10.699379 26.279882 57.257451 119.246625
2025-06-15 0.253594 1.128031 3.717417 10.675223 26.858706 59.613715 126.121872
2025-06-22 0.207392 0.993377 3.437550 10.242361 26.503388 60.104320 129.489675
2025-06-29 0.181609 0.925283 3.333051 10.233278 27.086404 62.495169 136.605214
2025-07-06 0.157254 0.854508 3.207864 10.154430 27.500504 64.561219 143.184038